Plus, I'm never playing poker with Steven Sinofsky: when we spoke at the 2009 PDC in LA I asked him flat out about Windows on ARM and he produced the most perfect poker face to say what sounded like no (Steven Sinofsky; the future of Windows: http://www.techradar.com/news/software/operating-systems/sinofsky-the-thinking-behind-windows-8-663088).
But a few months later I did get a hint that ARM might be on the cards from Charlie Kindel on the Windows Phone team (Will Windows 8 run on ARM? http://www.techradar.com/news/phone-and-communications/mobile-phones/will-windows-8-run-on-arm-processors-683227) and we now know it will. We just don't quite know how...
What started out as a rumours piece for TechRadar has evolved over the months, with updates as we've found out more, so this is a mix of detective work and confirmations as news as come out: http://www.techradar.com/news/computing/pc/8-things-you-need-to-know-about-windows-8-643699
I've also been writing about specific topics: Will IE 10 need Windows at all - or why Microsoft won't 'do a Chrome' (which should reassure the still-panicking .NET developers and might explain why Microsoft thinks they've said enough to reassure them already): http://www.techradar.com/news/internet/web/microsoft-s-sinofsky-html5-doesn-t-mean-you-don-t-need-windows-677438
This was a job advert I found and used to predict the importance of Web apps in Windows 8; I'm calling this a successful prediction ;-) Web apps to get Windows 8 love http://www.techradar.com/news/software/operating-systems/microsoft-s-windows-8-web-app-vision-906713
What Windows 8 on SoC means - or, yes, Windows apps can run on ARM, sometimes: http://ces2011.techradar.com/2011/01/what-does-windows-on-soc-mean-for-windows-8/
Windows 8 wishlist: this was written to be deliberately provocative and certainly got the discussion going, flames and all - I'm giving opinions rather than making predictions so I'm not going to score them...
What IE10 means for Microsoft and Windows 8: more detective work, joining the dots on the standards going into IE10 and the Windows 8 touch interface http://www.techradar.com/news/software/applications/what-ie10-tells-us-about-windows-8-942732
How Windows 8 touch relies on IE10 http://www.techradar.com/news/software/operating-systems/how-windows-8-touch-relies-on-ie10-971637
Similarly, predicting from the multitouch Microsoft mouse: What the Touch Mouse tells us about Windows 8 gestures http://www.techradar.com/news/computing-components/peripherals/windows-8-gestures-what-the-touch-mouse-tells-us-991070
What Windows 8 needs to compete on tablets: Microsoft telling me they'd been working on Windows 8 touch since before the iPad came out: http://www.techradar.com/news/mobile-computing/tablets/microsoft-we-know-where-we-re-going-with-windows-8-tablets-966757
Microsoft hints at a release date for Windows 8: the VP didn't say any more than I'd already calculated, but it was the first semi-official discussion and I broke the news - the first time I was top of a new section on TechMeme! http://www.techradar.com/news/software/operating-systems/microsoft-hints-at-windows-8-release-date-966233
What we know about the Windows 8 timeline: another definite hit - there was a rumour of a Windows 8 CTP for the Partner Conference and I was convinced it wouldn't happen (it didn't): http://www.techradar.com/news/software/is-a-windows-8-release-date-announcement-close--977481